Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Metz had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Metz |
61.86% | 21.93% | 16.21% |
Both teams to score 48.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.96% | 49.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.88% | 71.12% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.67% | 15.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.93% | 44.07% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.73% | 43.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.48% | 79.52% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 6.11% 4-0 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.18% Total : 61.85% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.93% | 0-1 @ 5.56% 1-2 @ 4.36% 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |