MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 19:16:39| >> :600:109113:109113:
[monks data]
Newcastle logo
Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 26, 2021 at 6pm UK
St James' Park
Leeds logo

Newcastle
1 - 2
Leeds

Almiron (57')
Schar (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raphinha (17'), Harrison (61')
Alioski (54'), Rodrigo (87'), Harrison (90+1')

Preview: Newcastle United vs. Leeds United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two out-of-form teams meet at St James' Park in a midweek round of Premier League fixtures on Tuesday as Newcastle United play host to Leeds United.

Newcastle have lost five games in a row in all competitions and are winless in 10, while Leeds have lost their last three without scoring a goal.


Match preview

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa pictured on January 16, 2021© Reuters

Had it been any other bottom-half club, a fifth loss on the spin and growing fan discontent surely would have brought an end to the manager's tenure.

Not so for Newcastle boss Steve Bruce, who looks likely to remain in place for as long as owner Mike Ashley is waiting for the club to be taken over.

The big concern for United fans is that, having exited both cup competitions in recent weeks, they are now sliding down the table and are in relegation danger.

Saturday's 2-0 loss to Aston Villa was the fourth successive game in which the Magpies have failed to find the net, the last three of those losses coming in the league.

Bruce's men are seven points above the dropzone, but an improving Fulham side have a game in hand to play and plenty of time to make up the deficit.

The situation at Leeds is not quite as bad, despite also struggling for form and indeed goals since the turn of the year.

Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce pictured on January 23, 2021© Reuters

United have gone down 3-0 to Tottenham Hotspur and Crawley Town in the Premier League and FA Cup respectively, as well as losing 1-0 to Brighton & Hove Albion last time out.

They managed just seven shots in that loss to lowly Brighton, their fourth-lowest in a game under Marcelo Bielsa, and are the only top-flight club without a goal in 2021.

Indeed, only Cardiff City in 2019 have gone four Premier League games without scoring at the start of a calendar year, while Ipswich Town in 1970 were the last top-flight side to lose four on the spin without scoring.

It must be remembered that Leeds are still in their first campaign back at this level since 2004, though, and Bielsa's charges are only six points behind Chelsea in ninth place.

Leeds certainly did not struggle for goals in the reverse meeting, seeing off Newcastle 5-2 at Elland Road in December, but they have not completed a league double in this fixture since 1975-76.

Newcastle United Premier League form: LDLLLL
Newcastle United form (all competitions): DLLLLL

Leeds United Premier League form: WLWWLL
Leeds United form (all competitions): LWWLLLL



Team News

Leeds United midfielder Kalvin Phillips pictured on January 10, 2021© Reuters

Newcastle will be without Paul Dummett and Federico Fernandez for this match, while fellow defender Ciaran Clark is also a fitness doubt.

However, Bruce has Allan Saint-Maximin back involved after the French winger made his first appearance in two months as a second-half substitute against Villa.

Scoring goals may be an issue for Newcastle, but Callum Wilson - who has gone six full games without finding the net - seems likely to lead the line once again.

As for Leeds, Gaetano Berardi, Adam Forshaw, Robin Koch and Illan Meslier are all expected to miss out on this midweek trip to St James' Park.

Kalvin Phillips is back available after serving a ban, though, and is expected to take over from Pascal Struijk in holding midfield.

Striker Patrick Bamford scored seven goals from his first 29 shots in the league this season, but he has since netted three times from his last 36 attempts.

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Darlow; Yedlin, Clark, Lascelles, Schar, Lewis; Almiron, Shelvey, Hayden, Saint-Maximin; Wilson

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Casilla; Dallas, Ayling, Cooper, Alioski; Raphinha, Rodrigo, Phillips, Klich, Harrison; Bamford


SM words green background

We say: Newcastle United 0-0 Leeds United

Under-fire Newcastle boss Bruce has never lost a home league match against Leeds in his managerial career (P7 W5 D2), facing no side more without losing at home in the league.

The hosts are in desperate need of a victory, but so too are their opponents on the back of a disappointing losing run of their own.

All going to form, everything points towards this game finishing in a stalemate that would not really suit either side.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:


ID:431912: cacheID:431912:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:9847:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce pictured on January 9, 2021
Read Next:
Where is it all going wrong for Steve Bruce and Newcastle United?
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Blanch
Nadal
1 0
6 6
Result
Cachin
Ofner
6 6
3 3
Result
Elahi Galan
Bautista-Agut
64 6 1
77 4 6
Result
Gasquet
Sonego
2 5
6 7
Result
Hanfmann
Mensik
4 63
6 77
10am
Koepfer
Carballes Baena
Result
Kovacevic
Medjedovic
6 5 4
3 7 6
Result
Lajovic
Monteiro
4 3
6 6
Result
Machac
Ruusuvuori
6 1 6
4 6 2
Result
Michelsen
Fonseca
6 0 2
4 6 6
Result
Nishioka
Auger-Aliassime
6 1 4
4 6 6
Result
O'Connell
Arnaldi
4 1
6 6
Result
Purcell
Giron
4 6 77
6 4 62
Result
Ramos-Vinolas
Kotov
3 4
6 6
Result
Tabilo
Cobolli
7 4 4
5 6 6
Result
Zhizhen
Kecmanovic
3 2
6 6
Result
Azarenka
Maria
6 6
3 1
10am
Eala
Cirstea
10am
Annie Fernandez
Potapova
Result
Gauff
Rus
6 6
0 0
Result
Keys
Camelia-Begu
77 78
63 66
Result
Podoroska
Navarro
2 1
6 6
10am
Karolina Schmiedlova
Jabeur
10am
Swiatek
Wang
10am
Alexandrova
Krueger
10am
Andreeva
Noskova
10am
Bejlek
Kalinskaya
10am
Boulter
Montgomery
10am
Bronzetti
Rybakina
10am
Collins
Danilovic
3pm
Cristian
Krejcikova
10am
Dolehide
Kalinina
10am
Garcia
Wang
10am
Linette
Sabalenka
10am
Pavlyuchenkova
Saville
Result
Sorribes Tormo
Svitolina
6 7
3 5
Result
Vekic
Sakkari
3 2
6 6
Result
Arango
Yastremska
6 5 4
0 7 6
Result
Osaka
Samsonova
2 6 5
6 4 7
Result
Ostapenko
Bouzas Maneiro
6 6
3 1
Result
Haddad Maia
Errani
6 6
3 2
2.30pm
Lourdes Carle
Kudermetova
2.30pm
Mertens
Stephens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester443041086394794
2Leeds UnitedLeeds44279880374390
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Millwall441411194355-1253
17Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
18Queens Park RangersQPR441311204157-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!