Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
