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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Oxford United |
21.49% | 23.09% | 55.42% |
Both teams to score 53.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.75% | 46.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.46% | 68.54% |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.29% | 35.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.52% | 72.48% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.46% | 16.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.7% | 46.3% |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 6.08% 2-1 @ 5.64% 2-0 @ 3.13% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.49% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 9.56% 1-3 @ 5.91% 0-3 @ 5.74% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 2.66% 0-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 1.37% 1-5 @ 0.96% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.21% Total : 55.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 45 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 37 | 39 | 89 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 83 | 48 | 35 | 86 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 25 | 8 | 11 | 86 | 56 | 30 | 83 |
5 | Barnsley | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 81 | 63 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 74 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 77 | 55 | 22 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 68 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 62 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 61 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 61 |
13 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 59 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 17 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 59 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 48 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 60 | -22 | 46 |
20 | Burton Albion | 45 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 44 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 41 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 72 | -26 | 40 |
R | Port Vale | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 40 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |