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League One | Gameweek 7
Oct 20, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
Swindon Town

Northampton
2 - 1
Swindon

Missilou (7'), Rose (28')
Bolger (51'), Missilou (62'), Hoskins (86'), Smith (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Smith (76' pen.)
Jaiyesimi (65'), Grounds (81')
Coverage of the League One clash between Northampton Town and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
38.41%26.36%35.22%
Both teams to score 52.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.19%51.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43%73.57%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68%26.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55%61.45%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82%28.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.13%63.87%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.41%
    Swindon Town 35.22%
    Draw 26.35%
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 8.37%
2-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.41%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.39%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 5.95%
1-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 35.22%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Northampton
0-1
Swindon

Goode (59'), Oliver (63'), Jones (68')
Lyden (77')
Doyle (70')
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Swindon
0-1
Northampton

Baudry (4'), May (65')
Williams (67')
Lines (54'), Turnbull (72')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Northampton
1-1
Swindon
Williams (6')
van Veen (32'), Turnbull (39'), Bowditch (43'), Powell (90')
Anderson (63')
Taylor (44'), Conroy (45')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swindon
1-1
Northampton
Taylor (73')
Knoyle (85')
O'Toole (60')
Crooks (65'), Waters (86'), O'Toole (90')
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Northampton
2-1
Swindon
Jones (67' og.), O'Toole (82')
Smith (34')
Norris (51')
Dabo (7'), Colkett (36'), Gladwin (44'), Branco (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth392411463323183
2Derby CountyDerby402461069353478
3Bolton WanderersBolton39228971432874
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough38218974462871
5Barnsley382011770482271
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391891262521063
7Stevenage3917111151401162
8Lincoln CityLincoln3916131056332361
9Blackpool391791357421560
10Leyton Orient391610134444058
11Northampton TownNorthampton40158175160-953
12Wigan AthleticWigan39177155348550
13Wycombe WanderersWycombe381311145049150
14Bristol Rovers38148164857-950
15Exeter CityExeter39138183352-1947
16Charlton AthleticCharlton391015145758-145
17Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury39135212955-2644
18Reading39139175557-242
19Burton Albion39109203151-2039
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge38109193255-2339
21Port Vale3899203661-2536
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham3798203050-2035
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood39713194161-2034
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3959253569-3424


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