Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Valencia |
39% | 28.62% | 32.37% |
Both teams to score 45.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.18% | 60.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.15% | 80.85% |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% | 30.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.52% | 66.48% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.37% | 34.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.65% | 71.34% |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 12.52% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.32% Total : 39% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 5.9% 1-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.23% Total : 32.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 67 | 20 | 47 | 78 |
2 | Barcelona | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 65 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 50 |
7 | Valencia | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 47 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 45 |
9 | Villarreal | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 39 |
10 | Getafe | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 39 |
11 | Osasuna | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 39 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Sevilla | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 34 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Mallorca | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 31 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 28 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 31 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |