Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Eibar win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Eibar | Draw | Villarreal |
21.33% | 26.37% | 52.3% |
Both teams to score 43.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.06% | 58.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.58% | 79.42% |
Eibar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.9% | 43.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.63% | 79.38% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.31% | 22.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.66% | 56.34% |
Score Analysis |
Eibar | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 5.14% 2-0 @ 3.46% 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.07% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.02% Total : 21.33% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 14.5% 0-2 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-3 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-4 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.67% Total : 52.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 67 | 20 | 47 | 78 |
2 | Barcelona | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 65 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 57 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 50 |
7 | Valencia | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 47 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 45 |
9 | Villarreal | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 39 |
10 | Getafe | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 39 |
11 | Osasuna | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 39 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Sevilla | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 34 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Mallorca | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 31 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 28 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 31 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 17 |
20 | Almeria | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |