Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Celta Vigo |
28.73% | 28.62% | 42.64% |
Both teams to score 44.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.2% | 61.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.41% | 81.59% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.08% | 37.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.31% | 74.69% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% | 28.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% | 64.54% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.73% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 13.58% 0-2 @ 8.48% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-3 @ 3.53% 1-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.1% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.59% Total : 42.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 67 | 20 | 47 | 78 |
2 | Barcelona | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 65 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 50 |
7 | Valencia | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 47 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 45 |
9 | Villarreal | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 39 |
10 | Getafe | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 39 |
11 | Osasuna | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 39 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Sevilla | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 34 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Mallorca | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 31 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 28 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 31 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |