Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.33%) and 0-3 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Barcelona |
9.88% | 18.21% | 71.91% |
Both teams to score 41.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.35% | 47.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% | 69.86% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.32% | 52.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.56% | 86.44% |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.11% | 11.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.79% | 37.21% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 4.01% 2-1 @ 2.74% 2-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.88% | 1-1 @ 8.55% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.48% Total : 18.21% | 0-2 @ 14.2% 0-1 @ 13.33% 0-3 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 6.46% 0-4 @ 5.37% 1-4 @ 3.44% 0-5 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-5 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.99% Total : 71.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 64 | 20 | 44 | 72 |
2 | Barcelona | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60 | 34 | 26 | 64 |
3 | GironaGirona | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 59 | 34 | 25 | 62 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 56 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 55 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 46 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 42 |
8 | Valencia | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 40 |
9 | Villarreal | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Getafe | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 38 |
11 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Osasuna | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 32 |
14 | Mallorca | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
16 | Sevilla | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 27 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 29 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 22 |
19 | Granada | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 58 | -28 | 14 |
20 | Almeria | 29 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 57 | -29 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |