Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.
