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Hoffenheim logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 5, 2020 at 8pm UK
PreZero Arena

Hoffenheim
5 - 0
Slovan Liberec

Dabour (22', 30'), Grillitsch (59'), Adamyan (71', 76')
Bogarde (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pourzitidis (28'), Koscelnik (52')

Preview: Hoffenheim vs. Slovan Liberec - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League match between Hoffenheim and Slovan Liberec, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Hoffenheim host Slovan Liberec in Group L of the Europa League with the German side looking to extend their winning run and lead at the top of the group.

The two sides were at different ends of one-sided results in the last matchday, with Hoffenheim winning 4-1 at Gent and Slovan Liberec losing 5-1 to Red Star Belgrade.


Match preview

Hoffenheim manager Sebastian Hoeness celebrates with his players after their victory over Bayern Munich on September 27, 2020© Reuters

Hoffenheim have made a terrific start to what is only the club's third European campaign in their history, winning both of their opening matches to lead the group.

Sebastian Hoeness's side were comfortable when dispatching Red Star 2-0, restricting the Serbian side to zero shots on target and only 39% possession, with Christoph Baumgartner and Munas Dabbur's second-half strikes proving the difference on the day.

Hoffenheim showed their attacking capabilities when thrashing Gent 4-1 away from home, testing the opposition goalkeeper on 15 occasions and having 33 shots in total.

However, they were downed 3-1 at home to Union Berlin at the weekend, so Hoeness will be imploring his side to bounce back with a victory to wrap up qualification to the knockout stages as quickly as possible.

Slovan Liberec, meanwhile, are competing in the Europa League group stage for the first time since the 2016-17 campaign, having last reached the knockout stage in 2013-14.

After beating Gent 1-0 despite only having 29% possession, the Czech Republic side were thrashed 5-1 at Red Star on matchday two. The defeat was a crushing blow to their chances of qualifying for the knockout stages once more, with Pavel Hotfych likely of the belief that the 1991 European Cup winners are his main competitors for second spot in the group.

Indeed, Hoffenheim are likely to represent a stiffer challenge given their financial backing and recent form in the competition. Hotfych will almost certainly deploy a defensive strategy in order to contain the opposition and hope for a positive result.

His side, who have an astonishing seven players on loan from Slavia Prague, must improve dramatically on their last away showing if they are to have any chance of executing their manager's gameplan.

Hoffenheim Europa League form: WW
Hoffenheim form (all competitions): LLWDWL

Slovan Liberec Europa League form: WWWWL
Slovan Liberec form (all competitions): LWWWWL


Team News

Andrej Kramaric celebrates opening the scoring for Hoffenheim in their Champions League tie with Manchester City on December 12, 2018© Reuters

It remains to be seen whether Andrej Kramaric returns to the side for this match, having missed the defeat to Union Berlin at the weekend. The Croatian striker has not featured since testing positive for coronavirus during the international break last month.

Ermin Bicakcic is a long-term absentee having ruptured his cruciate ligament, with Kostas Stafylidis, Benjamin Hubner, Pavel Kaderabek and Kasim Adams all out of action until after the forthcoming international break.

Hotfych, meanwhile, appears to be in the enviable position of having no injuries to any first-team players.

His main decision, then, will be whether to utilise two strikers which worked effectively against Gent, or pack the midfield as he did unsuccessfully at Red Star.

Hoffenheim possible starting lineup:
Baumann; Posch, Vogt, Akpoguma; Skov, Samassekou, Grillitsch, Rudy, Sessegnon; Bebou, Belfodil

Slovan Liberec possible starting lineup:
Nguyen; Koscelnik, Chalus, Tijani, Mikula; Matousek, Mara, Hromada, Sadilek, Mosquera; Yusuf


SM words green background

We say: Hoffenheim 2-0 Slovan Liberec

It is difficult to see beyond a comfortable home win here, even if Hoeness may have one eye on improving his side's Bundesliga form at the weekend.

Slovan Liberec were dismantled at Red Star, so Hotfych may be content with keeping the scoreline down in a narrow defeat.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 54.86%. A win for Slovan Liberec had a probability of 22.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Slovan Liberec win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.


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A shot of the UEFA Europa League trophy before the final between Dnipro and Sevilla in Warsaw on May 27, 2015
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
QWest Ham650115
QFreiburg640212
3Olympiacos62137
4Backa Topola60151

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
QBrighton641113
QMarseille632111
3Ajax61235
4AEK Athens61144

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
QRangers632111
QSparta Prague631210
3Betis63039
4Aris Limassol61144

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
QAtalanta642014
QSporting Lisbon632111
3Sturm Graz61144
4Rakow61144

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
QLiverpool640212
QToulouse632111
3Union SG62228
4LASK61053

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
QVillarreal641113
QRennes640212
3M. Haifa61235
4Panathinaikos61144

Group G

TeamPWDLPTS
QSlavia Prague650115
QRoma641113
3Servette61235
4Sheriff Tiraspol60151

Group H

TeamPWDLPTS
QB. Leverkusen660018
QQarabag631210
3Molde62137
4Hacken60060


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