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Hertha Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Werder Bremen logo

Hertha Berlin
1 - 4
Werder Bremen

Cordoba (45+2')
Mittelstadt (9'), Cordoba (26')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Selke (10' pen.), Toprak (29'), Bittencourt (57'), Sargent (77')
Selke (12'), Mbom (21'), Bittencourt (86')

Preview: Hertha Berlin vs. Werder Bremen - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Hertha Berlin host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on Saturday with the two sides separated by a single point towards the bottom of the table.

Both teams will be looking to bounce back from defeats in midweek in order to put more distance between themselves and the relegation zone.


Match preview

Hertha Berlin coach Bruno Labbadia celebrates at the end of the match on January 2, 2021© Reuters

After beating Schalke 04 by three goals to nil in the first game back after the break, Hertha looked as though they may be about to go on a run and deliver the type of performances and results expected of them, especially with four games in a row against sides in the bottom half of the Bundesliga.

However, Bruno Labbadia's side have failed to win any of their three matches since, drawing with FC Koln and losing to Arminia Bielefeld and Hoffenheim, with the 3-0 defeat on Tuesday perhaps Hertha's lowest ebb of the season so far.

Injury-struck Hoffenheim had taken only one point from their three matches in this calendar year, but produced a counter-attacking masterclass led by an Andrej Kramaric back to his best.

Sebastian Rudy had opened the scoring in the first half for Sebastian Hoeness's side, which always plays into Hoffenheim's hands as a side who like to soak up pressure and transition as quickly as possible when the opportunities arise. Kramaric duly proved the difference between the sides, scoring his first brace since he inspired his side to a 4-3 win over Bayern Munich in late September.

Hertha must find form soon with Arminia and Koln breathing down their necks.

Werder Bremen's Omer Toprak celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 9, 2021© Reuters

After narrowly surviving relegation via a playoff with Heidenheim last season, it is less of a surprise to see Bremen lurking only six points above the relegation zone.

Florian Kohfeldt's side have proved more difficult to beat than last campaign, though, with Tuesday's narrow 1-0 defeat at Borussia Monchengladbach only their seventh league defeat in 17 matches.

They were unfortunate not to claim a point, too, with Milot Rashica and Leonardo Bittencourt both going agonisingly close in the dying stages after Nico Elvedi had broken the deadlock with a fine header in the 66th minute.

In truth, there was little between Bremen and their Champions League opponents, which will give Kohfeldt great hope of gaining a positive result at a comparatively struggling Hertha on Saturday.

Hertha Berlin Bundesliga form: DLWLDL
Werder Bremen Bundesliga form: LWLDWL

Werder Bremen form (all competitions): WWLDWL


Team News

Hertha Berlin's Javairo Dilrosun pictured in October 2019© Reuters

Hertha are unlikely to have Marvin Plattenhardt, Dedryck Boyata, Marton Dardai, Javairo Dilrosun or Eduard Lowen available to them due to injury.

Labbadia could mix things up after the disastrous defeat to Hoffenheim, with Dodi Lukebakio likely to come into the starting XI in place of Krzysztof Piatek.

Bremen, meanwhile, are likely to remain without top goalscorer Niclas Fullkrug for another month due to the forward's ankle injury.

Ludwig Augustinsson, Christian Gross and Patrik Erras are unlikely to travel to Berlin, too, with Nick Woltemade out with a virus.

Given Rashica's impact off the bench against Gladbach, Kohfeldt is likely to hand the forward a start providing his hamstring issues are fully behind him.

Hertha Berlin possible starting lineup:
Schwolow; Pekarik, Stark, Alderete, Mittelstadt; Tousart, Darida, Guendouzi; Lukebakio, Cordoba, Cunha

Werder Bremen possible starting lineup:
Pavlenka; Veljkovic, Toprak, Friedl; Gebre-Selassie, Eggestein, Mohwald, Bittencourt, Agu; Sargent, Rashica


SM words green background

We say: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Werder Bremen

Bremen games are usually closely fought affairs and we do not envisage this one being any different.

Both managers may be content with a point to boost confidence among their ranks and, depending on how the sides below them fare, potentially move further away from the relegation zone.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.


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2St Pauli29169454322257
3Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf29157763352852
4Hamburger SV29147855411449
5Hannover291112651361545
6Hertha Berlin29128960481244
7Karlsruher SCKarlsruher291110858431543
8SC PaderbornSC Paderborn30127114649-343
9Greuther Furth29126114042-242
10Elversberg30117124452-840
11Nuremberg30107133856-1837
12Schalke 04Schalke30106144656-1036
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14Wehen WiesbadenWiesbaden2987143140-931
15Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig2994163041-1131
16Hansa RostockHansa Rostock2994162748-2131
17KaiserslauternKaiserslautern2985164558-1329
18VfL OsnabruckOsnabruck2959152757-3024


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