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Fulham logo
Premier League | Gameweek 6
Oct 24, 2020 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Crystal Palace logo

Fulham
1 - 2
Crystal Palace

Cairney (90+5')
Kamara (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Riedewald (8'), Zaha (64')
Guaita (90+7')

Preview: Fulham vs. Crystal Palace - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League London derby between Fulham and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fulham welcome Crystal Palace and former manager Roy Hodgson back to Craven Cottage on Saturday in a Premier League London derby.

Hodgson returns with his Palace side having picked up seven points from their five games so far, whereas Scott Parker - more than 33 years his opposite number's junior - is looking to lift Fulham off the foot of the table.


Match preview

Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Hodgson's return to Craven Cottage will no doubt evoke memories of some golden times during his spell as Fulham boss, when European football rather than relegation battles graced the West Londoners.

The Premier League's oldest ever manager is now aiming to perform similar heroics with another London club, although both teams come into this match in growing need of a victory.

There is no doubt that the need is more urgent for Fulham; they picked up their first point of the season at Sheffield United last time out, taking the lead for the first time since their promotion back to the big time before being pegged back by Billy Sharp's late penalty.

It was a day to forget for Aleksandar Mitrovic, who missed a penalty of his own, conceded Sheffield United's and squandered a very good late chance for all three points, and he has reason to dread Saturday's match too having lost all 11 previous London derbies in which he has played.

Indeed, Fulham as a club have lost a record 11 top-flight London derbies on the bounce heading into this match, with that poor run extending further to 20 defeats in their last 23 meetings with fellow capital sides.

Fulham manager Scott Parker pictured on September 28, 2020© Reuters

Two of those three games in which they avoided defeat have been against Palace, but if they are to get something from the Eagles again this time around then various improvements will be needed - not least their home form.

Back-to-back 3-0 Premier League defeats at Craven Cottage, coupled with the final home game of their last spell in the division, mean that they have lost their last three top-flight outings on their own turf by an aggregate score of 10-0, and they could become the first team in top-flight history to lose four consecutive home games by three or more goals.

That makes for an intriguing battle against a misfiring Crystal Palace attack which has failed to score in six of their last seven away games in all competitions. For Fulham it may be their best chance of keeping a home clean sheet, whereas for Palace they could not wish for a better opportunity to improve upon their away drought.

The exception in that away run bizarrely came at Old Trafford as Palace ran out 3-1 winners over Manchester United last month, but those are their only points on the road from the last 18 available.

Home or away, Hodgson's side are winless since that memorable Old Trafford triumph, losing to Everton and Chelsea before eking out a draw in the derby against Brighton & Hove Albion last weekend.

Crystal Palace winger Wilfried Zaha pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Wilfried Zaha's penalty in that match was their sixth goal from only 10 shots on target this season, and appeared to be enough to have earned all three points until Alexis Mac Allister struck a deserved late equaliser for the Seagulls.

Palace had a notoriously miserly attacking record last season and, while their conversion rate is impressive so far this term, Hodgson will know that his side need to start having more shots on target and recent evidence suggests that Fulham should gift them plenty of opportunities for that.

A first Premier League clean sheet since the opening day of the campaign would also be welcome for the visitors, who have only prevented their opposition from scoring twice in their last 28 top-flight London derbies.

As it happens, both of those clean sheets came against Fulham in the 2018-19 campaign as Palace won 2-0 home and away.

Another victory on Saturday would make it three successive league wins for Palace over Fulham for the first time in 90 years, and more importantly would edge Hodgson's former club deeper into trouble at the bottom of the table.

Fulham Premier League form: LLLLD
Fulham form (all competitions): LWLLLD

Crystal Palace Premier League form: WWLLD
Crystal Palace form (all competitions): WLWLLD



Team News

Crystal Palace defender Gary Cahill is hurt after a challenge by Brighton's Lewis Dunk in October 2020© Reuters

Gary Cahill will play no part in this match after being on the end of Lewis Dunk's red-card challenge in the derby last weekend, leaving him with a swollen shin.

Defensive absentees has been a story of Palace's season so far, although those are easing now and James Tomkins could be in contention here as he builds his way back up to match fitness.

Saturday's match will come too soon for Nathan Ferguson and Wayne Hennessey, while domestic deadline-day arrival Jack Butland is unavailable to fill in for the latter after testing positive for COVID-19.

Jordan Ayew has also tested positive and will therefore play no part, while Connor Wickham and James McCarthy are also still sidelined.

Zaha will be looking to continue his purple patch which has already seen him equal last season's four-goal haul, with those earning five of Palace's seven points so far this term.

Fulham are still without three of their summer signings as Kenny Tete, Joachim Andersen and Terence Kongolo miss out once again.

Harrison Reed is also a doubt for the home side, who could name an unchanged XI to the one which earned their first point of the campaign last time out.

That would mean another start for Ruben Loftus-Cheek, who spent the 2017-18 campaign on loan with Palace.

Fulham possible starting lineup:
Areola; Aina, Adarabioyo, Ream; Cavaleiro, Cairney, Anguissa, Robinson; Loftus-Cheek, Mitrovic, Lookman

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Guaita; Ward, Kouyate, Sakho, Mitchell; Townsend, Riedewald, McArthur, Eze; Batshuayi, Zaha


SM words green background

We say: Fulham 1-2 Crystal Palace

Fulham looked better against Sheffield United, both at the back and going forward, and they will fancy their chances of at least getting on the scoresheet in this match.

However, while Palace's goalscoring record away from home is poor they still have the firepower to hurt what has been a leaky Fulham defence, and so we are backing the visitors to come away with all three points.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.


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Jordan Ayew celebrates equalising for Palace on January 11, 2020
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
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