Europa League | First Qualifying Round
Aug 27, 2020 at 6pm UK
Ceres Park
Aarhus5 - 2Honka
Tingager (21'), Mortensen (29', 45+2' pen.), Olsen (90+1'), Tengstedt (90+2')
Hojer Nielsen (44'), Links (56')
Hojer Nielsen (44'), Links (56')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Martin (35'), Kaufmann (64')
Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Aarhus and Honka.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Honka had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Honka win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Honka |
| 46.6% | 24.01% | 29.38% |
| Both teams to score 58.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
