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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Heerenveen |
51.98% | 22.21% | 25.81% |
Both teams to score 62.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.38% | 37.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.15% | 59.85% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.35% | 14.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.2% | 42.8% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.68% | 27.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.23% | 62.77% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 6.13% 3-0 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 3.98% 4-1 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 4.23% Total : 51.98% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-1 @ 5.19% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.46% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.92% Total : 25.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 81 | 13 | 68 | 72 |
2 | Feyenoord | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 62 |
3 | FC Twente | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 53 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 49 |
5 | Ajax | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 41 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 39 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 34 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 31 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 30 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 28 |
14 | Heracles | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 22 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
17 | Vitesse | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |