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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
42.65% | 24.15% | 33.19% |
Both teams to score 60.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.67% | 42.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.27% | 64.73% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.96% | 20.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.75% | 52.24% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% | 24.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.54% | 59.45% |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3% Total : 42.65% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-1 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 81 | 13 | 68 | 72 |
2 | Feyenoord | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 62 |
3 | FC Twente | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 53 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 49 |
5 | Ajax | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 41 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 39 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 34 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 31 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 30 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 28 |
14 | Heracles | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 22 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
17 | Vitesse | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |