Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 38.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.8%) and 2-0 (4.91%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
