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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Swansea City |
35.47% | 26.38% | 38.15% |
Both teams to score 52.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.15% | 51.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.39% | 73.6% |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.95% | 28.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.3% | 63.7% |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% | 26.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.32% | 61.68% |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.47% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 42 | 28 | 4 | 10 | 79 | 38 | 41 | 88 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 43 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 87 |
4 | Southampton | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 84 | 54 | 30 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 42 | 24 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 43 | 21 | 8 | 14 | 76 | 60 | 16 | 71 |
7 | Hull City | 42 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 62 | 54 | 8 | 65 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 43 | 18 | 5 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 59 |
12 | Bristol City | 43 | 16 | 10 | 17 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 58 |
13 | Sunderland | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 62 | -9 | 53 |
15 | Watford | 43 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 52 |
16 | Millwall | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 50 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 57 | 71 | -14 | 49 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 12 | 12 | 19 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 48 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 47 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 47 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 43 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 45 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 43 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 44 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 12 | 8 | 23 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 43 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 23 |
> Championship Full Table |