Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
53.25% | 22.33% | 24.42% |
Both teams to score 60.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.47% | 39.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.13% | 61.87% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.09% | 14.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.72% | 43.27% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.59% | 29.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.6% | 65.4% |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 6.17% 3-0 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.25% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 4.38% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-1 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 3.28% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.21% Total : 24.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |