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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | FC Koln |
34.35% | 24.44% | 41.21% |
Both teams to score 59.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.64% | 43.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.24% | 65.75% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.32% | 24.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.79% | 59.2% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.87% | 21.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.02% | 53.97% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 7.94% 1-0 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.35% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-1 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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