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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
25.04% | 23.04% | 51.92% |
Both teams to score 58.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.79% | 42.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.38% | 64.62% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% | 30.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.44% | 66.56% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.68% | 16.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.1% | 45.9% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 5.91% 2-0 @ 3.52% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3% Total : 25.04% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-1 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 5.87% 0-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 2.66% 0-4 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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