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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 13.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Union Berlin |
68.64% | 18.25% | 13.11% |
Both teams to score 52.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.78% | 39.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.44% | 61.55% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.6% | 10.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.06% | 33.94% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.46% | 41.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.96% | 78.03% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-0 @ 11.06% 1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 7.34% 4-0 @ 4.73% 4-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.22% 5-0 @ 2.14% 5-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 4.45% Total : 68.63% | 1-1 @ 8.59% 0-0 @ 4.32% 2-2 @ 4.27% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.25% | 0-1 @ 3.8% 1-2 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.25% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |