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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
67.87% | 17.82% | 14.31% |
Both teams to score 57.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.83% | 34.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.94% | 56.06% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.78% | 9.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.79% | 31.21% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% | 36.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% | 73.32% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 7.66% 3-0 @ 7.61% 4-1 @ 4.56% 4-0 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.86% 4-2 @ 2.3% 5-1 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.68% Total : 67.87% | 1-1 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 4.85% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.82% | 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-1 @ 3.39% 0-2 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.14% Total : 14.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 60 |
3 | Stuttgart | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 56 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 50 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 49 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 40 |
7 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 33 |
9 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Heidenheim | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 28 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 25 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 25 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 19 |
17 | FC Koln | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 18 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 65 | -39 | 13 |
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