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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Jan 3, 2021 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
Mainz logo

Bayern
5 - 2
Mainz 05

Kimmich (50'), Sane (55'), Sule (70'), Lewandowski (76' pen., 83')
Boateng (32'), Alaba (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Burkardt (32'), Hack (44')
Boetius (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 84.2%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 6.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.87%) and 4-0 (7.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawMainz 05
84.2%9.58%6.22%
Both teams to score 61.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
83.4%16.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.89%33.11%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.21%2.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.23%12.76%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82%37.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04%73.95%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 84.2%
    Mainz 05 6.22%
    Draw 9.58%
Bayern MunichDrawMainz 05
3-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 7.87%
4-0 @ 7.12%
4-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 6.65%
2-1 @ 6.58%
5-0 @ 5.11%
5-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.89%
1-0 @ 3.71%
4-2 @ 3.49%
6-0 @ 3.05%
6-1 @ 3.02%
5-2 @ 2.5%
7-0 @ 1.56%
7-1 @ 1.55%
6-2 @ 1.5%
4-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 5.4%
Total : 84.2%
1-1 @ 3.67%
2-2 @ 3.26%
3-3 @ 1.28%
0-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 9.58%
1-2 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.07%
0-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 6.22%

How you voted: Bayern vs Mainz 05

Bayern Munich
88.1%
Draw
5.1%
Mainz 05
6.8%
59
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
1-3
Bayern
St Juste (45')
St Juste (57'), Boetius (87'), Latza (88')
Lewandowski (8'), Muller (14'), Alcantara (26')
Goretzka (64')
Aug 31, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bayern
6-1
Mainz
Pavard (36'), Alaba (45'), Perisic (54'), Coman (64'), Lewandowski (78'), Davies (80')
Kimmich (20'), Hernandez (73'), Alcantara (75')
Boetius (6')
Niakhate (33'), Hack (45'), Kunde (77')
Mar 17, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 26
Bayern
6-0
Mainz
Lewandowski (3'), Rodriguez (33', 51', 55'), Coman (39'), Davies (70')
Sule (72')
Oct 27, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Mainz
1-2
Bayern
Boetius (48')
Caricol (43'), Oztunali (61'), Ujah (88')
Goretzka (39'), Alcantara (62')
Martinez (86')
Feb 3, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
0-2
Bayern
Ribery (33'), Rodriguez (44')
Rudy (35'), Wagner (41'), Boateng (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen29254074195579
2Bayern MunichBayern29203682364663
3Stuttgart29203667343363
4RB Leipzig29175767333456
5Borussia DortmundDortmund29168557342356
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt29101274339442
7Augsburg29109104746139
8Freiburg29116124152-1139
9Hoffenheim29106134957-836
10Heidenheim29810114250-834
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach29710125056-631
12Werder Bremen2987143649-1331
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2985162545-2029
14Wolfsburg2977153450-1628
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum29512123459-2527
16Mainz 05Mainz29511133047-1726
17FC Koln29410152351-2822
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2928192872-4414


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