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Bayern logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Nov 21, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Bayern
1 - 1
Werder Bremen

Coman (62')
Pavard (15')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eggestein (45')
Bittencourt (32'), Augustinsson (43'), Kohfeldt (80'), Pavlenka (90+4')

Preview: Bayern Munich vs. Werder Bremen - predictions, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga match between Bayern Munich and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bayern Munich entertain Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on Saturday, with the reigning champions looking to extend their lead at the top of the table.

Bremen, meanwhile, have drawn four league matches in a row by the scoreline of 1-1.


Match preview

Bayern Munich players celebrate after Robert Lewandowski scores against Borussia Dortmund on November 7, 2020© Reuters

Since losing to Hoffenheim in late September, Hansi Flick's side have won 10 successive matches in all competitions.

The most recent of those came before the recent international break in the shape of a crucial 3-2 win over title rivals Borussia Dortmund in a thrilling encounter.

Erling Braut Haaland was guilty of missing several chances for Dortmund, with Robert Lewandowski displaying more clinical finishing. The Poland striker would have had a hat-trick were it not for VAR, with two of his three strikes disallowed for being marginally offside.

Marco Reus had given Dortmund the lead on the stroke of half time, before David Alaba's deflected free kick levelled proceedings heading into the break. Lewandowski and Leroy Sane took the game away from Dortmund before Haaland finally converted after rounding Manuel Neuer, but it proved to be too little, too late for the hosts in what could prove to be a decisive result come the end of the season.

Werder Bremen manager Florian Kohfeldt pictured in July 2020© Reuters

After narrowly surviving relegation in a playoff with Heidenheim last season, Werder Bremen manager Florian Kohfeldt will be encouraged by the seven-point gap currently between his side and the relegation zone.

Indeed, Bremen have impressively remained unbeaten since losing to Hertha Berlin on the opening day of the season, rather curiously drawing their last four matches all by the scoreline of 1-1.

The most recent of those draws came prior to the international break at home to FC Koln. An insipid first half was most noteworthy for Koln goalkeeper Timo Horn's injury after a clash with Joshua Sargent, forcing the 27-year-old to be replaced by Ron-Robert Zieler.

Ondrej Duda's free kick was inadvertently turned into his own net by Bremen captain Niklas Moisander, before a clumsy handball saw Koln concede their fifth penalty of the season. Leonardo Bittencourt duly converted from the spot against his former club, with Sargent's tame header late in the match meaning both sides took home a point apiece.

Bayern Munich Bundesliga form: LWWWWW
Bayern Munich form (all competitions): WWWWWW

Werder Bremen Bundesliga form: WWDDDD


Team News

Bayern Munich boss Hansi Flick pictured on August 22, 2020© Reuters

Perhaps the only blemish from the victory over Dortmund was Joshua Kimmich's meniscus injury, which will keep the midfielder out until the New Year.

Flick also remains without left-back Alphonso Davies due to the Canadian's torn ankle ligament, with Lucas Hernandez continuing to deputise in his position.

Kohfeldt will be disappointed to remain without top goalscorer Niclas Fullkrug due to a calf injury, but Milot Rashica should be fit to start once again having returned against Koln.

Milos Veljkovic will miss the trip to Munich with an abductor problem, so Omer Toprak should get the nod to start in the back three.

Bayern Munich possible starting lineup:
Neuer; Pavard, Sule, Alaba, Hernandez; Goretzka, Tolisso; Sane, Muller, Gnabry; Lewandowski

Werder Bremen possible starting lineup:
Pavlenka; Toprak, Moisander, Friedl; Gebre Selassie, Eggestein, Gross, Mbom; Rashica, Bittencourt; Sargent


SM words green background

We say: Bayern Munich 3-0 Werder Bremen

We expect Bremen's unbeaten run to come to a crashing end at the Allianz Arena, with Bayern simply possessing too much quality for them to be able to handle.

Kimmich and Davies are undoubtedly big misses for the Bavarians, but their absences are likely to be felt more acutely in tougher fixtures.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.34%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 11.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 3-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.


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Bayern Munich players celebrate after Robert Lewandowski scores against Borussia Dortmund on November 7, 2020
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913


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