Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
39.41% | 24.09% | 36.5% |
Both teams to score 61.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.65% | 41.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.25% | 63.75% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.88% | 21.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.05% | 53.95% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.43% | 22.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.83% | 56.17% |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.73% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-1 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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