Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
37.67% | 24.51% | 37.82% |
Both teams to score 59.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.68% | 43.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.28% | 65.72% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% | 22.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.41% | 56.59% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.23% | 22.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.53% | 56.48% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.67% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.67% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-1 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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