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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2021 at 8.05am UK
Docklands Stadium
Perth Glory

Victory
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Brimmer (86', 90' pen.)
Shotton (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fornaroli (63')
Armiento (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
34.25%24.89%40.86%
Both teams to score 57.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.52%45.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18%67.81%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26%25.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33%60.66%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79%22.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37%55.63%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 34.25%
    Perth Glory 40.86%
    Draw 24.89%
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
2-1 @ 7.92%
1-0 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 5.27%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-1 @ 8.6%
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 4.4%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.86%

How you voted: Victory vs Perth Glory

Melbourne Victory
35.8%
Draw
11.3%
Perth Glory
52.8%
53
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2020 8am
Gameweek 25
Perth Glory
0-4
Victory

Fornaroli (51'), Elrich (59'), Lia (90')
Rojas (29', 69'), Nabbout (60' pen.), Kamsoba (90+2')
Rojas (26'), Kirdar (44')
Feb 1, 2020 10.45am
Gameweek 17
Perth Glory
2-2
Victory
Fornaroli (45'), D'Agostino (90')
Mrcela (21'), Grant (36'), Fornaroli (92')
Toivonen (23'), Nabbout (59')
Nov 29, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 8
Victory
1-0
Perth Glory
Kruse (33')
Toivonen (28')

Meredith (20'), Ikonomidis (58'), Castro (76')
Mar 30, 2019 11am
Gameweek 23
Perth Glory
0-2
Victory

Castro (24')
Toivonen (25'), Honda (67' pen.)
Toivonen (29'), Antonis (45'), Valeri (63')
Feb 10, 2019 6am
Gameweek 18
Victory
1-2
Perth Glory
Barbarouses (78')
Athiu (39'), Antonis (47'), Baena (71')
Kilkenny (61' pen.), Castro (69')
Reddy (81')
rhs 2.0
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