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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 26, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion

Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 1
Wurzburger

Kruger (79'), Ballas (86')
Breitkreuz (14'), Nazarov (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Munsy (52')
Hansen (48'), Kopacz (57'), Strohdiek (89'), Lotric (90+1')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Wurzburger Kickers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Wurzburger Kickers win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Erzgebirge Aue in this match.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawWurzburger Kickers
45.17%24.49%30.34%
Both teams to score 57.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.95%45.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.6%67.4%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94%20.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72%52.28%
Wurzburger Kickers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03%27.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4%63.6%
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 45.17%
    Wurzburger Kickers 30.34%
    Draw 24.49%
Erzgebirge AueDrawWurzburger Kickers
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-0 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 45.17%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-1 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.34%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 1
Wurzburger
0-3
Erzgebirge Aue

Flecker (1')
Strauss (60'), Testroet (63'), Baumgart (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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1St Pauli26159248252354
2Holstein Kiel26154749341549
3Hamburger SV26135850371344
4Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf26127756342243
5Hannover261010647351240
6SC PaderbornSC Paderborn2611694043-339
7Karlsruher SCKarlsruher26108855411438
8Greuther Furth26115103738-138
9Hertha Berlin2610795043737
10Nuremberg26106103545-1036
11Elversberg26105113943-435
12Magdeburg2687113841-331
13Wehen WiesbadenWiesbaden2687113034-431
14Schalke 04Schalke2693144254-1230
15KaiserslauternKaiserslautern2685134251-929
16Hansa RostockHansa Rostock2684142441-1728
17Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig2683152539-1427
18VfL OsnabruckOsnabruck2639142453-2918


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